93A in Arabian Sea could hit state of Gujarat, India
Posted by JAC on 12/2/2010, 10:47 am
FIM, GFS, & CMC have it spinning up.

Already looks good on IR.

Currently 7.4N  62.1E



http://fim.noaa.gov/FIMscp/jsloop.cgi?dsKeys=fim:&runTime=2010120200&plotName=mslp_sfc&fcstInc=360&numFcsts=41&model=fim&ptitle=Experimental FIM Model Fields&maxFcstLen=240&resizePlot=1&domain=fim&wjet=1
















ABIO10 PGTW 020730
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/020730Z-021800ZDEC2010//
REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020151ZDEC2010//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
  A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
  B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
     (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.3N 63.9E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2N 61.9E, APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF SOCOTRA ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
020347Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW CONVECTIVE BANDING AROUND A LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH INCREASED CENTRAL CONVECTION.
THE LLCC IS LOCATED JUST EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS
IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT. SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER,
MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT INDICATE
DRY AIR ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.




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93A in Arabian Sea could hit state of Gujarat, India - JAC, 12/2/2010, 10:47 am
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