Re: Risk for strong tornadoes tonight
Posted by JAC on 4/4/2011, 6:39 pm


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
  TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  455 PM CDT MON APR 4 2011
 
  THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
  TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
 
         CENTRAL ALABAMA
         NORTHERN GEORGIA
 
  EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 455 PM UNTIL
  1100 PM CDT.
 
  TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
  GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
  AREAS.
 
  THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
  MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROME
  GEORGIA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SELMA ALABAMA.  FOR A
  COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
  UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
 
  REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
  TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
  AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
  THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
  AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
 
  OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 91...WW 93...WW 94...
 
  DISCUSSION...AN INTENSE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS TRACKING ACROSS
  PORTIONS OF MS/AL WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG SHEAR IS
  PRESENT.  DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREAT.
  HOWEVER...STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS IN THE WARM SECTOR COUPLED
  WITH FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELLS
  CAPABLE OF TORNADOES.  STRONG TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED
  OUT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE AL PORTION OF THE WATCH THIS EVENING.
 
  AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
  SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
  WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
  500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
 
 
  ...HART

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
High Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Low Low


Note:  See the experimental Public Watch (SEL) product with explicit hazard information section below. The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

  SEL5
 
  URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
  TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  455 PM CDT MON APR 4 2011
 
  THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
  TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
 
         CENTRAL ALABAMA
         NORTHERN GEORGIA
 
  EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 455 PM UNTIL
  1100 PM CDT.
 
  SEVERAL TORNADOES
  ISOLATED INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
  ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
 
  THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
  MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROME
  GEORGIA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SELMA ALABAMA.  FOR A
  COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
  UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
 
  REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
  TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
  AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
  THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
  AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
 
  OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 91...WW 93...WW 94...
 
  DISCUSSION...AN INTENSE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS TRACKING ACROSS
  PORTIONS OF MS/AL WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG SHEAR IS
  PRESENT.  DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREAT.
  HOWEVER...STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS IN THE WARM SECTOR COUPLED
  WITH FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELLS
  CAPABLE OF TORNADOES.  STRONG TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED
  OUT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE AL PORTION OF THE WATCH THIS EVENING.
 
  AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
  SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
  WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
  500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
 
 
  ...HART

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
High Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Low Low


  SEL5
 
  URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
  TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  455 PM CDT MON APR 4 2011
 
  THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
  TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
 
         CENTRAL ALABAMA
         NORTHERN GEORGIA
 
  EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 455 PM UNTIL
  1100 PM CDT.
 
  TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
  GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
  AREAS.
 
  THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
  MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROME
  GEORGIA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SELMA ALABAMA.  FOR A
  COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
  UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
 
  REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
  TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
  AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
  THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
  AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
 
  OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 91...WW 93...WW 94...
 
  DISCUSSION...AN INTENSE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS TRACKING ACROSS
  PORTIONS OF MS/AL WHERE MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG SHEAR IS
  PRESENT.  DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREAT.
  HOWEVER...STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS IN THE WARM SECTOR COUPLED
  WITH FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELLS
  CAPABLE OF TORNADOES.  STRONG TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED
  OUT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE AL PORTION OF THE WATCH THIS EVENING.
 
  AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
  SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
  WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
  500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
 
 
  ...HART

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
High Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Low Low


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

  WOUS64 KWNS 042151
  WOU5
 
  BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
  TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 95
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  455 PM CDT MON APR 4 2011
 
  TORNADO WATCH 95 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR THE
   FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
 
  ALC001-007-009-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-047-051-055-063-065-
  073-081-085-087-091-101-105-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-
  050400-
  /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0095.110404T2155Z-110405T0400Z/
 
  AL
  .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
 
  AUTAUGA              BIBB                BLOUNT              
  CALHOUN              CHAMBERS            CHEROKEE            
  CHILTON              CLAY                CLEBURNE            
  COOSA                DALLAS              ELMORE              
  ETOWAH               GREENE              HALE                
  JEFFERSON            LEE                 LOWNDES            
  MACON                MARENGO             MONTGOMERY          
  PERRY                PICKENS             RANDOLPH            
  SHELBY               ST. CLAIR           SUMTER              
  TALLADEGA            TALLAPOOSA          TUSCALOOSA          
  WALKER              
 
 
  GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-063-067-077-083-085-089-097-111-
  113-115-117-121-123-129-135-139-143-149-157-187-199-213-223-227-
  233-281-285-291-295-311-313-050400-
  /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0095.110404T2155Z-110405T0400Z/
 
  GA
  .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
 
  BANKS                BARROW              BARTOW              
  CARROLL              CATOOSA             CHATTOOGA          
  CHEROKEE             CLAYTON             COBB                
  COWETA               DADE                DAWSON              
  DEKALB               DOUGLAS             FANNIN              
  FAYETTE              FLOYD               FORSYTH            
  FULTON               GILMER              GORDON              
  GWINNETT             HALL                HARALSON            
  HEARD                JACKSON             LUMPKIN            
  MERIWETHER           MURRAY              PAULDING            
  PICKENS              POLK                TOWNS              
  TROUP                UNION               WALKER              
  WHITE                WHITFIELD          
 
 
  ATTN...WFO...BMX...FFC...
 
 
 

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Moderate Moderate
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
High Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Low Low


Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

  SAW5
  WW 95 TORNADO AL GA 042155Z - 050400Z
  AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
  65NE RMG/ROME GA/ - 25SSW SEM/SELMA AL/
  ..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /39E GQO - 44WSW MGM/
  HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
  MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
 
  LAT...LON 35008294 32008577 32008851 35008576
 
  THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
  COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
  FOR WOU5.
 

Watch 95 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

44
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MS & W TN Under the Gun Today - JAC, 4/4/2011, 5:54 am
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