Keep an eye on Mid Carib mid next week
Posted by JAC on 5/26/2011, 8:06 am
Water vapor has been building consistently for the last couple weeks in the mid Carib.

Convection has been persistent over northern part of South America which has developed an anti-cyclone.

Shear could be clearing out south of Jamaica in about 144 hrs

GFS and CMC slightly hinting on a LL vorticity.

FIM forecasting good latent heat flux around Monday which could develop and move the anti-cyclone north into the water.

Based on 320K PV forecast and troughs ejecting into the Atlantic from CONUS,  there most likely will be a TUTT near 35N 35W.

One is currently positioned at 30N 50W as shown in the UL wind map below.

This could aid in developing a poleward outflow channel.

Just something to keep an eye on.



























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Keep an eye on Mid Carib mid next week - JAC, 5/26/2011, 8:06 am
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