Keep an eye on Mid Carib mid next week
Posted by
JAC on 5/26/2011, 8:06 am
Water vapor has been building consistently for the last couple weeks in the mid Carib.
Convection has been persistent over northern part of South America which has developed an anti-cyclone.
Shear could be clearing out south of Jamaica in about 144 hrs
GFS and CMC slightly hinting on a LL vorticity.
FIM forecasting good latent heat flux around Monday which could develop and move the anti-cyclone north into the water.
Based on 320K PV forecast and troughs ejecting into the Atlantic from CONUS, there most likely will be a TUTT near 35N 35W.
One is currently positioned at 30N 50W as shown in the UL wind map below.
This could aid in developing a poleward outflow channel.
Just something to keep an eye on.
![](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/wv-l.jpg)
![](http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.GIF)
![](http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8wvir.GIF)
![](http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/gfs/2011052606/850200shear26.png)
![](http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/gfs/2011052606/950vort26.png)
![](http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/cmc/2011052600/850vort24.png)
![](http://fim.noaa.gov/FIMscp/from_jet/fim/244/2011052600/lhtfl_sfc_f132.png)
![](http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/janiga/rtmaps/plan_maps/nam/320K_pv_wind/plot_65.gif)
|
394
In this thread:
Keep an eye on Mid Carib mid next week - JAC, 5/26/2011, 8:06 am- Yellow Box - JAC, 6/1/2011, 1:58 pm
- Broad Juice-Loop Roll. - JAC, 6/1/2011, 5:48 am
- Did about as well as I would have expected this afternoon - JAC, 5/31/2011, 4:37 pm
- 12Z takes it down to 1001mb - JAC, 5/31/2011, 4:24 pm
- 12Z CMC shows more active development - JAC, 5/31/2011, 2:21 pm
- High Rain-Rate Hot-Towers firing North of Panama - JAC, 5/31/2011, 6:53 am
- Re: Keep an eye on Mid Carib mid next week - tracker, 5/29/2011, 7:05 pm
- Re: Keep an eye on Mid Carib mid next week - jotay3, 5/29/2011, 4:38 pm
- Sunday NHC Discussion - JAC, 5/29/2011, 7:11 am
- On Track - JAC, 5/29/2011, 6:02 am
- 12Z GFS - JAC, 5/26/2011, 2:06 pm
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.