Looks like it may be capping. 17C at 700mb.
Posted by JAC on 6/26/2011, 10:39 pm



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1410
  NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
  0925 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2011
 
  AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS AND NWRN MO
 
  CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
 
  VALID 270225Z - 270330Z
 
  IF TRENDS BEGIN TO SUGGEST LINE OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP FARTHER SWD
  THEN A WW MAY BE NEEDED FOR NERN KS. OTHERWISE...AREA WILL CONTINUE
  TO BE MONITORED.
 
  LINE OF SEVERE STORMS EXTENDS FROM W-CNTRL IA SWWD THROUGH SERN NEB.
  THERE HAS BEEN SOME TENDENCY FOR SWRN DEVELOPMENT ON THE SRN FLANK
  OF THE LINE ACROSS SERN NEB. HOWEVER...TOP 00Z RAOB SHOWED A STRONG
  CAPPING INVERSION ASSOCIATED WITH A VERY WARM EML WITH 17 C AT 700
  MB. THIS IN CONJUNCTION WITH A COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER LOWERS
  CONFIDENCE REGARDING HOW FAR SOUTH STORMS CAN DEVELOP DESPITE STRONG
  LOW LEVEL MESOSCALE LIFT ALONG THE GUST FRONT. THEREFORE ANY WW
  ISSUANCE WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON CONVECTIVE TRENDS DURING THE NEXT
  HOUR.
 
  ..DIAL.. 06/27/2011
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High Risk for Torandoes NE MO - JAC, 6/26/2011, 9:58 pm
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