Orange Circle in the BOC
Posted by JAC on 6/27/2011, 1:47 pm
| 1007mb Moderate convection firing in high shear. Recon goes tomorrow.  ROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON JUN 27 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...HOWEVER THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA ON TUESDAY...IF NECESSARY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH   WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 0130 PM EDT MON 27 JUNE 2011 SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD) VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JUNE 2011 TCPOD NUMBER.....11-027 I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70 A. 28/1800Z B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST C. 28/1515Z D. 21.0N 94.0W E. 28/1730Z TO 28/2200Z F. SFC TO 10,000 FT FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71 A. 29/1200Z B. AFXXX 0201A CYCLONE C. 29/0930Z D. 22.0N 96.0W E. 29/1130Z TO 29/1600Z F. SFC TO 10,000 FT. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 12-HRLY FIXES WHILE SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT. |
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In this thread:
- Jac - sandy, 6/27/2011, 5:47 pm
- Re: Jac - JAC, 6/27/2011, 5:50 pm
- Small ULL forming south of Mobile Bay - JAC, 6/27/2011, 5:18 pm
- VIS Closeup - JAC, 6/27/2011, 4:04 pm
- Winds out of north & picking up on La Mancha Beach near Veracruz - JAC, 6/27/2011, 3:54 pm
- West winds at southern end of BOC - JAC, 6/27/2011, 5:47 pm
- 95L Posted - JAC, 6/27/2011, 1:48 pm
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