It now appears Ma-ON will make landfall on Shikoku and on Wakayama.
Posted by hanna on 7/18/2011, 11:02 pm
Issued at 02:40 UTC, 19 July 2011

Analyses at 19/02 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity Strong
Center position N32°05'(32.1°)
E132°55'(132.9°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more E190km(100NM)
W110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more E650km(350NM)
W410km(220NM)

<Estimate for 19/03 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity Strong
Center position N32°20'(32.3°)
E132°55'(132.9°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more E190km(100NM)
W110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more E650km(350NM)
W410km(220NM)

<Forecast for 19/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N33°25'(33.4°)
E133°30'(133.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area E280km(150NM)
W200km(110NM)

<Forecast for 20/00 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N34°00'(34.0°)
E135°10'(135.2°)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
Storm warning area E310km(170NM)
W240km(130NM)

<Forecast for 21/00 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N32°55'(32.9°)
E139°55'(139.9°)
Direction and speed of movement E 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area Wide 390km(210NM)

<Forecast for 22/00 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N31°20'(31.3°)
E144°05'(144.1°)
Direction and speed of movement E 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Radius of probability circle 410km(220NM)
Storm warning area Wide 500km(270NM)



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Super Typhoon MA-ON has gone down to a cat three - hanna, 7/16/2011, 12:22 pm
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