Re: One thing is for sure ...
Posted by beachman80 on 8/1/2011, 5:22 pm
Agree. I think the key player in this is Hispanola and Cuba and how much interaction this thing has with it. That interaction could be the difference between this thing affecting the US and a Tropical Wave/Tropical Depression or a major hurricane.

There's room the next 96 hours for this thing to get revved up some, but it needs to be on water and not getting beat up in the mountains of the Haiti and Cuba. If it avoids those two islands, does it go north of them or south? That could also be the difference between this thing being a gulf storm or an east coast storm. The CMC and GFS want to take this thing into the Eastern gulf or south tip of Florida, whereas the GFDL wants to take it closer to the east coast.

The next 48 hours are key, IMO.
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One thing is for sure ... - LawKat, 8/1/2011, 3:53 pm
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