Re: The Navy has Emily sticking to a TS
Posted by beachman80 on 8/2/2011, 4:10 pm
When I look at models, I never really pay attention to intensity forecasts because they're never right.  Even experts will tell you tracks a lot easier to predict than strength.

As far as this system goes, if it comes off HIspanola as a 50mph storm, then I think the further west it goes between Hispanola and Florida, the more it will it strengthen. If it takes a more western route to either the gulf or east coast of FL, that means it's riding around a ridge of high pressure and conditions are prolly decent. If it turns more north, that means it's caught up in a trough and is going to get torn apart some. And the models you see turning it out to see are the ones that are really weakening it.

144
In this thread:
The Navy has Emily sticking to a TS - hanna, 8/2/2011, 3:52 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.