Re: The Navy has Emily sticking to a TS
Posted by
beachman80 on 8/2/2011, 4:10 pm
When I look at models, I never really pay attention to intensity forecasts because they're never right. Even experts will tell you tracks a lot easier to predict than strength.
As far as this system goes, if it comes off HIspanola as a 50mph storm, then I think the further west it goes between Hispanola and Florida, the more it will it strengthen. If it takes a more western route to either the gulf or east coast of FL, that means it's riding around a ridge of high pressure and conditions are prolly decent. If it turns more north, that means it's caught up in a trough and is going to get torn apart some. And the models you see turning it out to see are the ones that are really weakening it.
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The Navy has Emily sticking to a TS -
hanna,
8/2/2011, 3:52 pm- Re: The Navy has Emily sticking to a TS - beachman80, 8/2/2011, 4:10 pm
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