RUC MODEL AND EMILY
Posted by
Jake on 8/3/2011, 9:53 am
RUC shows a narrow ridge through 12hrs in the 925mb -700mb level. This should keep her weak center on a more W- WNW track today. RUC is used for short term forecasting and is well respected. I think this will impact her track, as the further west she make enters Hispaniola it will shift the track west. And this will increase any impact on Florida.
Even after the crossing of Hispaniola, all dynamical models intensify Emily. We will know more tomorrow once she emerges north of the Islands and what her condition she will be in..
Upper level conditions have become marginal for strengthening, as I missed the mid-level shear and continued dry air...
She has been a challenging storm for me.
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RUC MODEL AND EMILY - Jake, 8/3/2011, 9:53 am Post A Reply
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