This from a local met in VA who has has a great forcast trend even in the winter with storms....
Posted by Shalista on 8/21/2011, 12:55 pm
*** ALERT *** 12Z Sunday ( midday) run of the GFS continues the
"TREND" of SHIFTING the track of IRENE to the east . This INCREASES the threat/ risk for SC NC Eastern VA ... INCREASES the risk of Irene becoming a decent size Hurricane and DECREASES the Risk of Direct hit for FL and Savannah GA

http://www.wxrisk.com/

even has some nice graphics to explain the whole picture of what is going on as well....
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