Re: TWC
Posted by
Tiny on 8/22/2011, 4:05 pm
LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THE RIDGE WILL RETREAT IN RESPONSE TO A MID LATITUDE TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD. GFS AND ECMWF NOW SHOW A MORE PRONOUNCED AMPLIFICATION OF THIS TROUGH AND THIS MAY HAVE A BIGGER IMPACT ON IRENE`S FORECAST TRACK. IRENE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST ACROSS PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING AND BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE CENTER MOVING ACROSS OUR ATLANTIC WATERS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY WITH A FORECAST THIS FAR IN THE FUTURE, AND ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA IS STILL WITHIN THE FORECAST ERROR CONE OF THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE MODELS AGREE ON THE CENTER REMAINING OVER THE WATER EAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...ANY DEVIATION OF THE TRACK TO THE WEST COULD PUT THE CENTER OF IRENE CLOSER OR EVEN INLAND OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN SOUTH FLORIDA NEED TO KEEP MONITORING IRENE AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN.
from NHC>>>>>
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TWC -
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8/22/2011, 3:55 pm- Re: TWC - ArgosyTn, 8/22/2011, 4:16 pm
- Re: TWC - TuffyE, 8/22/2011, 4:18 pm
- Re: TWC - Tiny, 8/22/2011, 4:05 pm
- Re: TWC - Tiny, 8/22/2011, 4:03 pm
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