Re: Scenario ...
Posted by Conclue on 8/23/2011, 1:01 pm
The porblem is most people take every model run as the holy grail of what will happen and react to that each time. This is evident on this board. I just saw someone say "fish" and "wishcasting" because people are concnerned about a SE US landfall. Seriously? Because a couple runs say it will be picked up by a trough? The other day ALL the modles underestimated the ridge in the ATL and Irene didn't go over Hispanola but was able to tug above it. Tomorrow could be another story all together.

Just because models say a trough is gonna do something 72hrs doesn't mean it's right. It's an idea of what will happen, not WHAT will happen. This is what people mis understand.
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Scenario ... - LawKat, 8/23/2011, 12:06 pm
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