Re: weather channel
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/24/2011, 2:53 pm
TWC was mentioning the SHIPS model in regards to about a 1 in 3 chance. The model output was the 12Z run found here:
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/11082412AL0911_ships.txt

In that it says:

Prob of RI for 35 kt RI threshold=    30% is   6.0 times the sample mean( 5.0%)

At the time it was 100 knots, which 100 plus 35 equals 135 knots which is just nearly a category 5.

The latest run is now available:
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/11082418AL0911_ships.txt

New runs are at the bottom of this folder every 6 hours:
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/
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weather channel - TFG, 8/24/2011, 2:32 pm
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