Re: CMC and GFS Show Wave Off Africa (12N17W)
Posted by Target on 8/27/2011, 6:20 pm
Yeah, the models often show a fish at this point and odds may usually be that they are correct...

But I'd only place the odds at about 50/50 that this wave will be a fish.

What interests me most is that it is forecast to develop with some agreement between the models.

If it develops but is shredded a bit by shear or hit by dry air then as a weak wave it may stay to the South near the tropics until it nears the Caribbean.
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CMC and GFS Show Wave Off Africa (12N17W) - Target, 8/27/2011, 4:52 pm
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