5 am Discussion - 958mb
Posted by 1969 on 8/28/2011, 5:33 am
HURRICANE IRENE DISCUSSION NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
500 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2011

SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW THAT DRY AIR IS NOW WRAPPING INTO
MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF IRENE...AND THE CYCLONE IS
SLOWLY BEGINNING TO FILL AS MEASUREMENTS FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SHOW THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE IS UP TO
958 MB.  BASED ON DROPSONDE AND SFMR DATA SHOWING THAT SURFACE
WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
LOWERED TO 65 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.  DESPITE THE GRADUAL WEAKENING
OF THE CYCLONE...THE OUTER WIND FIELD CONTINUES TO EXPAND...WITH
34-KT WINDS OCCURRING FROM NEW YORK CITY SOUTHWARD TO NORTHEASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.  IRENE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH UNTIL IT MOVES INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATER TODAY...
AND IT WILL ONLY TAKE MODEST CONVECTION TO BRING DOWN STRONGER WINDS
ALOFT TO THE SURFACE AS SUSTAINED HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS.

SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL AS IRENE BECOMES A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ABOUT 24 HOURS.


A note for those in tall buildings
NOTE...MORE SO THAN WITH MOST STORMS...THE WINDS WITH IRENE INCREASE
SHARPLY WITH HEIGHT ABOVE THE SURFACE.  AS IRENE MOVES THROUGH
AREAS WITH HIGH-RISE STRUCTURES...THESE BUILDINGS COULD EXPERIENCE
WINDS SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THE SURFACE WINDS.  WINDS AT THE
30-STORY LEVEL WILL LIKELY BE 20 PERCENT HIGHER THAN AT THE
SURFACE...AND WINDS 80-100 STORIES UP COULD BE ABOUT 30 PERCENT
HIGHER THAN AT THE SURFACE.
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5 am Discussion - 958mb - 1969, 8/28/2011, 5:33 am
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