Re: 92L - Near 100% chance of development into depression or higher in 48 hours (8PM EDT on 8/28
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/28/2011, 9:37 pm
Until something is developed I would not put much faith in the models.

Here is one site where you can run models:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

Models are often very bullish at that start which might be correct with this system, but until we get something more developed I would not put any faith in it. It will be important to see if it develops sooner or later. Generally, the stronger something gets early on across the Atlantic the more likely it is to curve out to sea. (or Bermuda) So, we'll have to wait until something gets going and if it waits awhile before developing it may make it more west so that it could be more of a problem. If it develops faster, then a bit more likely to curve sooner.

Non updating image of some model lines as of 8PM EDT on 8/28 (includes late cycle models valid as of 2PM EDT on 8/28):

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92L - Near 100% chance of development into depression or higher in 48 hours (8PM EDT on 8/28) - Chris in Tampa, 8/28/2011, 8:22 pm
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