Re: All Models Are Now Showing Katia Going Out To Sea As Of The 12Z Runs
Posted by TuffyE on 9/4/2011, 7:53 pm
It is good to see them come together and I think they have the track down, but I would caution that we have always had that shape to the track and OFTEN shift it westward from this point forward.  I would bet on this one doing just that.  Note that the HWF run on Lee incidentally shows Katia brushing the O.B...  Believe this is because of the westward-shifting track of Lee.  The Katia run has Lee pretty much vanishing, but still further west than earlier.  Since there never appears to be a CONUS NE track for Lee remants, it looks like the dip isn't sliding east..that soon, anyway.  Is there enough of a High in the Atlantic to wrap Katia as sharp and as fast as shown by current model runs.  If anything, the High may appear to be shifting to the NW closer to New England and I sure wouldn't see that causing a quick, sharp recurve.

This doesn't look like a slam, but I don't think it's time go home to the O.B....
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All Models Are Now Showing Katia Going Out To Sea As Of The 12Z Runs - wfsouza, 9/4/2011, 6:25 pm
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