ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/invest_al912011.invest BEGIN NHC_ATCF invest_al912011.invest FSTDA R U 040 010 0000 201109241740 NONE NOTIFY=ATRP END INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 91, 2011, DB, O, 2011092412, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL912011 AL, 91, 2011092312, , BEST, 0, 243N, 763W, 15, 1013, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, AL, 91, 2011092318, , BEST, 0, 250N, 770W, 15, 1013, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, AL, 91, 2011092400, , BEST, 0, 257N, 773W, 15, 1012, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, AL, 91, 2011092406, , BEST, 0, 265N, 776W, 15, 1012, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, AL, 91, 2011092412, , BEST, 0, 272N, 778W, 20, 1011, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 150, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M, AL, 91, 2011092418, , BEST, 0, 279N, 779W, 20, 1011, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 150, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M, ![]() 1. AN ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS...OR ABOUT 175 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA. SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED... AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. on navy site |