Gray and Klotzbach discontinue December seasonal forecast
Posted by 1969 on 12/13/2011, 3:56 pm
They say that  20 years of forecasts had no predictive value.


The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities of hurricane seasons in December.
But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do in the long run.

Colorado State has been known for decades for forecasts of how many named storms and
hurricanes can be expected each official hurricane season (which runs from June to November.)

Last week, the pair made this announcement:

"We are discontinuing our early December quantitative hurricane forecast for the next year  Our
early December Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts of the last 20 years have not
shown real-time forecast skill even though the hindcast studies on which they were based had considerable skill."

The two will still make the traditional forecasts closer to hurricane season.
http://www.ottawacitizen.com/mobile/story.html?id=5847032
267
In this thread:
Gray and Klotzbach discontinue December seasonal forecast - 1969, 12/13/2011, 3:56 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.