In response to the Atlantic...
Posted by
Shalista on 5/12/2012, 5:00 pm
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS JUST N OF THE CENTER FROM 32N-34N BETWEEN 30W-32W. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF SUBTROPICAL FORMATION WITH NEAR GALE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. EXPECT...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE W ATLANTIC FRONT TO MOVE E AT 10-15 KT...AND FOR THE DEEP LOW TO MOVE LITTLE.
No activity in the carribean....this from the NHC Atlantic side discussion...
CARIBBEAN SEA... RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS ISOLATED CONVECTION OVER NE HISPANIOLA N OF 18N AND E OF 70W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 67W-71W. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA...COSTA RICA...AND THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 10N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND RAIN ARE OVER INLAND E NICARAGUA AND E HONDURAS. A RELATIVELY TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA PRODUCING 15-25 KT TRADEWINDS WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED OVER GUATEMALA NEAR 15N90W. THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER HISPANIOLA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTION OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE.
Note it says convection..not cyclonic activity...again there is just too much wind shear for development of any cyclone in this area....
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GFS predicts Beryl :) -
weatherwindow,
5/12/2012, 4:20 pm Post A Reply
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