AquaRN
Posted by hanna on 7/31/2012, 11:06 am
LOL! I can understand that.  Both storms should give you rain.  Keep a sharp eye on SAOLA:  ("SOW-luh") ~ an extremely rare and nearly
extinct mammal, saola means "the polite animal" in its native homeland of Southeast Asia. Known for its enigmatic and quiet nature.  The saola
is a primitive member of the Bovidae family, which includes antelopes, buffalo, bison, cattle, goats and sheep. I am unable to find a translation
for  DAMREY..


10W.SAOLA it has wobbled although Japan Mets think it will wobble back and forth but staying in the predicted area.  They put you in the
cone.  



STS 1209 (SAOLA)
Issued at 13:45 UTC, 31 July 2012
 Analyses at 31/13 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity -
Center position N21°50'(21.8°)
E123°55'(123.9°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slowly
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL70km(40NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL750km(400NM)

Estimate for 31/14 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity -
Center position N21°55'(21.9°)
E124°00'(124.0°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slowly
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL70km(40NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL750km(400NM)

Forecast for 31/18 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N21°50'(21.8°)
E123°35'(123.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slowly
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 60km(30NM)
Storm warning area ALL150km(80NM)

Forecast for 01/00 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N22°20'(22.3°)
E123°30'(123.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slowly
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL200km(110NM)

Forecast for 01/06 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N22°50'(22.8°)
E123°20'(123.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slowly
Central pressure 955hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 110km(60NM)
Storm warning area ALL240km(130NM)

Forecast for 01/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N23°10'(23.2°)
E123°05'(123.1°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slowly
Central pressure 955hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)


The Navy puts you just outside of the cone.  



I think you can see part of Darey in the upper right corner.




11W.DAMREY

Has remained on track.

Issued at 13:10 UTC, 31 July 2012
Analyses at 31/12 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N28°55'(28.9°)
E137°10'(137.2°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL70km(40NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE560km(300NM)
SW330km(180NM)

<Forecast for 01/00 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N29°55'(29.9°)
E133°10'(133.2°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(17kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL170km(90NM)

<Forecast for 01/12 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N30°40'(30.7°)
E129°25'(129.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(17kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area ALL200km(110NM)

<Forecast for 02/12 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N33°20'(33.3°)
E124°20'(124.3°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)

<Forecast for 03/12 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N38°00'(38.0°)
E120°35'(120.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)





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Hanna...could you recheck on Okinawa... - AquaRN, 7/30/2012, 9:17 am
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