Tropical Atlantic Becoming Active Three Areas
Posted by
Jake on 8/2/2012, 12:16 am
First will start with the disturbance over Hispaniola, large area of cloudiness with scattered convection mostly over water. However, decent mid level rotation / 700mb vort over the island. Although, models don't show development, wouldn't be surprised to see this gather in the Bahamas, as the upper air pattern is conducive with fanning process of the cloud pattern, warm SST's and a more moist environment could allow this too slowly increase once it emerges north of the island tomorrow.
Second area is our new TD east of the lesser antilles, latest sat images and cloud pattern show a very poorly structured system with little vertical dynamics and being under cut by moderately strong westerly shear and dry air. Chances for this to intensify are minimal next few days and could become an open wave, but will wait on this till hunter aircraft checks system.
Third area is just east of TD, nice rotation with this as well, but lacks deep convection. This could also develop slowly if it stays away from TD-5. Conditions are more conducive here than over our depression. |
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Tropical Atlantic Becoming Active Three Areas - Jake, 8/2/2012, 12:16 am Post A Reply
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