Jake so sorry for not responding to your very helpful post re "MJO and Atlantic Basin / Weak Systems" thank you for your response. Sorry more people did not respond to your post there are some great minds out there I would have loved to read their responses.
AquaRN welcome back, you are lucky things are getting nasty there.
Typhoon BOLAVEN so far predicted to have winds up to 120 mph, the path so far is very similar to Typhoon Haikui.