TY 1217 (JELAWAT)
Posted by hanna on 9/28/2012, 1:54 am
I looks like Jelawat will make landfall on Cape Irago, Atsumi Peninsula, Okinawa.  The Tahara Hwy and the Omotehama Hwy join together  there,
how sturdy the buildings there might not be to sturdy.  For now the winds will be about 74.801mph.

http://www.gojapango.com/travel/kyoto_map.htm









Issued at 04:45 UTC, 28 September 2012

Analyses at 28/04 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N23°05'(23.1°)
E124°10'(124.2°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL190km(100NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N650km(350NM)
S440km(240NM)

<Estimate for 28/05 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N23°20'(23.3°)
E124°10'(124.2°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 920hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL190km(100NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N650km(350NM)
S440km(240NM)

<Forecast for 28/15 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N24°35'(24.6°)
E125°05'(125.1°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)

<Forecast for 29/03 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N25°35'(25.6°)
E127°10'(127.2°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 935hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
Storm warning area ALL310km(170NM)

<Forecast for 30/00 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N29°20'(29.3°)
E131°20'(131.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle 330km(180NM)
Storm warning area ALL480km(260NM)

<Forecast for 01/00 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N35°10'(35.2°)
E137°05'(137.1°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 460km(250NM)
Storm warning area SE560km(300NM)
NW520km(280NM)



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TY 1217 (JELAWAT) - hanna, 9/28/2012, 1:54 am
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