000 WTNT31 KNHC 120841 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PATTY ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162012 500 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2012 ...PATTY DRIFTING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AND WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.1N 72.5W ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM ENE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 200 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PATTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST. PATTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A SLOW MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS LIKELY...AND PATTY COULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY SATURDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM ...TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN 98 L: the orange circle is now red! http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ |