Crown Weather
Posted by ricksterpr on 10/12/2012, 9:34 am
Friday, October 12, 2012 8:35 am
by Rob Lightbown


Invest 98L, which is a broad and large area of low pressure was located about 60 miles to the northwest of Saint Lucia this morning. Tropical storm force winds with gusts to 50 mph have been reported on the island of Barbados this morning and tropical storm conditions are likely today through tonight from Barbados to Saint Vincent and Saint Lucia northward through Guadeloupe, Barbuda and Antigua. Even though there are no tropical storm warnings in effect, please treat this as a tropical storm and expect tropical storm winds with gusts to 60 mph, heavy rainfall with flash flooding and sea heights of up to 12 to 16 feet.

On Saturday, this system which I think by that time will be named Tropical Storm Rafael will track northwestward over the eastern Caribbean and tropical storm conditions will continue to impact much of the Lesser Antilles on Saturday with tropical storm conditions spreading across the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by early Saturday morning and continuing throughout Saturday and likely right into Sunday. So, for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, expect tropical storm force winds with gusts to 60 to 70 mph, heavy rainfall with flash flooding and sea heights of up to 15 feet.

I do think that the center of Rafael will track right over Puerto Rico by early Sunday morning and then track slowly northwestward and northward from there. The weather is likely not to improve for Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and the Lesser Antilles until Monday.

So, bottom line is that all of the Lesser Antilles will be raked pretty hard by Invest 98L/Rafael from today to possibly Monday morning and that Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands will also be raked pretty hard from Saturday to Monday morning.

Finally, this system may end up impacting Bermuda as a hurricane right around Tuesday into Wednesday and this is something that will be monitored closely.

I will be monitoring Invest 98L very closely and will have an updated discussion sometime on Saturday.

Impact Graphic For Puerto Rico, The Virgin Islands & The Lesser Antilles:



Invest 98L Information

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Heads Up Ricksterpr - ricksterpr, 10/10/2012, 1:25 pm
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