So close, but she has officially dissipated
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 5/30/2013, 4:37 pm
BULLETIN REMNANTS OF BARBARA ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022013 200 PM PDT THU MAY 30 2013
...BARBARA DISSIPATES... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.5N 94.5W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNW OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT BARBARA NO LONGER HAS A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION...AND IS THEREFORE NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE.
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...35 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF BARBARA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...BRINGING STORM TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON BARBARA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$ FORECASTER PASCH
REMNANTS OF BARBARA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022013 200 PM PDT THU MAY 30 2013
THREE SURFACE OBSERVING SITES NEAR COATZACOALCOS MEXICO HAVE BEEN PERSISTENTLY REPORTING WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST...YET HIGH-RESOLUTION VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES HAVE BEEN SUGGESTING A WEAK CIRCULATION CENTERED TO THE EAST OF THESE SITES. APPARENTLY THE LATTER CIRCULATION IS EITHER NOT AT THE SURFACE OR IS EXTREMELY WEAK AND ILL DEFINED. SINCE BARBARA DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF SURFACE CIRCULATION AND LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION...IT NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND ADVISORIES ARE BEING DISCONTINUED. OUR OPERATIONAL ASSESSMENT IS THAT BARBARA DID NOT MAKE IT INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.
ALTHOUGH THE CYCLONE HAS DISSIPATED...DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF BARBARA IS LIKELY TO PERSIST OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AND A HEIGHTENED RISK OF DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER THIS REGION.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 30/2100Z 18.5N 94.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...REMNANTS 12H 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$ FORECASTER PASCH |
88
In this thread:
Will 92E form into Barbara & Cross into the GOM? -
BobbiStorm,
5/28/2013, 8:57 pm- So close, but she has officially dissipated - Chris in Tampa, 5/30/2013, 4:37 pm
- Re: Will 92E form into Barbara & Cross into the GOM? - Chris in Tampa, 5/30/2013, 4:50 am
- 8 pm 5/29 - cypresstx, 5/29/2013, 10:40 pm
- Re: Will 92E form into Barbara & Cross into the GOM? It would become TD1 in Atalanic Basin, right? - tvsteve, 5/29/2013, 7:18 pm
- Re: Will 92E form into Barbara & Cross into the GOM? - BobbiStorm, 5/29/2013, 4:12 pm
- 2 PM PDT - cypresstx, 5/29/2013, 5:17 pm
- Re: Will 92E form into Barbara & Cross into the GOM? - Chris in Tampa, 5/28/2013, 9:41 pm
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