O/T: CaneTalk seems to be experiencing some technical issues at the moment. I have been talking with the hosting company. Pages are loading slow and for a time none of the scripts on the site were accessible.
----------------------------
Since this storm is in the middle of nowhere, and will still be in the middle of nowhere days from now, there was no need for the NHC to put out a special advisory for just a 15 mph bump in wind speed. If it was a little more than that and it was rapidly strengthening, maybe they would due to shipping. The file CypressTX posted is what the NHC puts out in the
Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System between normal advisory times.
I received a question from someone about that this morning by email and here was my response:
"Our site uses best track data in the NHC's Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System which is updated around half an hour usually after 0Z, 6Z, 12Z and 18Z.
Dorian:
ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/invest_al042013.investAbout the ATCF system:
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/For official information, it is best to consult NHC advisories. The NHC's best track data can give an idea of what they are likely to do in the next advisory, but it is subject to change, so when relaying official information the NHC's advisory data should be used. At this point, you could say the signs point to Tropical Depression Four being upgraded to Tropical Storm Dorian.
As an example of best track information changing, the July 24th 8am AST best track data indicated a position of: 14.0N 29.0W. However, intensity data just changed.
At 8:33am AST the NHC posted the following information into the best track file:
35 knots, 1006mb
At 9:04am AST the NHC updated that to:
45 knots, 1002mb"