Re: NOAA trims forecast for busy hurricane season
Posted by 1969 on 8/9/2013, 7:23 am
You are all correct, of course. It only takes one terrible storm:



The SAL has certainly put the brakes on a lot of development recently, but it is expected to die down shortly.
http://earthsky.org/earth/noaa-and-others-expect-2013-hurricane-season-to-remain-active

"So far, 2013 has not recorded a hurricane in the Atlantic basin. The majority of the storms have had a difficult times strengthening into a 74-mile-per-hour storm. But a specific condition, which now appears to be ending, probably helped prevent Atlantic hurricanes earlier this summer. For late July and early August, an intense surge of dry, Saharan dust spread westward from Africa, bringing conditions highly unfavorable for tropical cyclone development. The dust is now expected to die down, and hurricane conditions are likely to become more favorable as we enter the peak of the hurricane season, which occurs from mid-August to early October. "


Saharan Air Layer


Historically:

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NOAA trims forecast for busy hurricane season - 1969, 8/8/2013, 7:58 pm
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