It just seems odd they would start 92L now. What they started describing it as after they issued the last advisory to what they called it most recently: A COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...WHICH INCLUDES THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE A DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE Note the "ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE" and now they are at "THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE". It seems like they are more certain now. Although, they do use that word "broad", so I guess they could be waiting to make the final decision as to whether it merged with anything. By the way, some of the research missions have been canceled today. Air Force recon will continue as long as Gabrielle could be a threat to Bermuda. Not 100% sure about what research missions are on and which are off. At least one P3 seems to be scheduled for research, assuming the date was correct in today's plan of the day. GlobalHawk should have taken off at 10am EDT, but data stopped before it left. There might be some activity with the G-IV going by the NASA tracker site, but the GlobalHawk was active like that this morning too and it never went anywhere. http://airbornescience.nasa.gov/tracker/ NOUS42 KNHC 081612 REPRPD WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 1200 AM EDT SUN 08 SEPTEMBER 2013 SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD) VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2013 TCPOD NUMBER.....13-099 I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70 FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71 A. 09/2000Z A. 10/0600Z B. AFXXX 0507A GABRIELLE B. AFXXX 0607A GABRIELLE C. 09/1500Z C. 10/0100Z D. 28.0N 65.3W D. 30.0N 64.5W E. 09/1930Z TO 09/2330Z E. 10/0530Z TO 10/0930Z F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: 12 HOURLIES WHILE SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT TO BERMUDA. 3. REMARKS: A: ONE NOAA P3 AIRCRAFT WILL FLY A RESEARCH MISSION NEAR REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE, DEPARTING TISX 08/1600Z. B: POSSIBLE GLOBAL HAWK RESEARCH MISSION ON 10 SEP. II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. $$ ECD |