Does the August Lull in Atlantic Hurricane Activity Mean We Won't be Having an Active Season?
Posted by hanna on 9/13/2013, 9:17 am
| Part of the article ... Bell said that he and his office, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, have been fielding questions about the August lull in Atlantic hurricanes and whether it would cause his forecast team to soften its May and August outlooks, which concluded that the 2013 season had a 70 percent chance of being more active than normal. In a word, no. "What happens in the early part of the season is generally not a good predictor of the second half of the season, which is when the majority of hurricanes and major hurricanes form. NOAA's outlooks are for the season as a whole, and not for any particular month during the season," said Bell.  See the link below for the rest. http://www.climate.gov/news-features/event-tracker/does-august-lull-atlantic-hurricane-activity-mean-we-wont-be-having |
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