My apologies not a cat 4 a cat 3, winds will expected to reach 110kts/126.586 mph. It looks like mainland Japan might be in for some nasty weather. ![]() ![]() ![]() From the JMA TS 1326 (WIPHA) Issued at 10:05 UTC, 11 October 2013 Analyses at 11/09 UTC> Scale - Intensity - Center position N14°35'(14.6°) E141°30'(141.5°) Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(8kt) Central pressure 994hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 20m/s(40kt) Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt) Area of 30kt winds or more ALL390km(210NM) <Forecast for 12/09 UTC> Intensity - Center position of probability circle N16°10'(16.2°) E138°55'(138.9°) Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(7kt) Central pressure 985hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 25m/s(50kt) Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt) Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM) <Forecast for 13/06 UTC> Intensity Strong Center position of probability circle N17°30'(17.5°) E137°20'(137.3°) Direction and speed of movement NW 10km/h(6kt) Central pressure 970hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt) Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt) Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM) Storm warning area ALL330km(180NM) <Forecast for 14/06 UTC> Intensity Strong Center position of probability circle N20°25'(20.4°) E134°40'(134.7°) Direction and speed of movement NW 20km/h(10kt) Central pressure 955hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt) Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt) Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM) Storm warning area ALL460km(250NM) WIPHA has taken a very nice form over the past hours. 24W.NARI a cat 3 is almost on the mainland of the Philippines. ![]() 24W.NARI a cat 3 is almost on the Philippine mainland, Cabanatuan & Gapan City appear to be the largest city's in the area I was unable to locate the smaller villages that must be very near landfall. https://maps.google.com/maps?client=firefox-a&q=philippine+islands&ie=UTF-8&ei=ofdXUvGOMo28qQGToYCABw&ved=0CAgQ_AUoAg ![]() From the JMA TY 1325 (NARI) Issued at 12:50 UTC, 11 October 2013 Analyses at 11/12 UTC> Scale - Intensity Strong Center position N15°25'(15.4°) E122°40'(122.7°) Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(9kt) Central pressure 965hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt) Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt) Area of 50kt winds or more ALL130km(70NM) Area of 30kt winds or more N330km(180NM) S280km(150NM) <Forecast for 12/12 UTC> Intensity Strong Center position of probability circle N15°25'(15.4°) E117°10'(117.2°) Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt) Central pressure 970hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt) Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt) Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM) Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM) <Forecast for 13/12 UTC> Intensity Strong Center position of probability circle N15°20'(15.3°) E113°40'(113.7°) Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(8kt) Central pressure 960hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt) Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt) Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM) Storm warning area ALL330km(180NM) <Forecast for 14/12 UTC> Intensity Strong Center position of probability circle N16°00'(16.0°) E111°25'(111.4°) Direction and speed of movement WNW 10km/h(6kt) Central pressure 955hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt) Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt) Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM) Storm warning area ALL430km(230NM) ![]() ![]() ![]() |