Update: Tropical Cyclone 02B (Phailin) Warning #13 Issued at 12/0300Z
Posted by hanna on 10/12/2013, 12:23 am
As I post this it is 04:22:60 I included all information from the JTWC below.

TC Warning Text

WTIO31 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN) WARNING NR 013    
  01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   ---
  WARNING POSITION:
  120000Z --- NEAR 17.4N 86.5E
    MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
    POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
    POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
  PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 86.5E
   ---
  FORECASTS:
  12 HRS, VALID AT:
  121200Z --- 18.6N 85.3E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
   ---
  24 HRS, VALID AT:
  130000Z --- 20.0N 84.1E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
  VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS
   ---
  36 HRS, VALID AT:
  131200Z --- 21.8N 83.1E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
  VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
   ---
  EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
  48 HRS, VALID AT:
  140000Z --- 23.5N 82.3E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   ---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 86.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN INTENSE CYCLONE WITH A SYMMETRIC
WALL OF DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING A WELL-DEFINED 15 NM EYE. A
112154Z SSMI 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A SYMMETRIC RING OF DEEP
CONVECTION AROUND THE EYE FEATURE AND ADDITIONALLY, ANOTHER BROKEN
RING OF CONVECTION OUTSIDE OF THAT, WHICH MAY BE INDICATING ANOTHER
EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE (ERC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON
DEFINED EYE FEATURE IN THE EIR ANIMATION WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140
KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM
HAS MAINTAINED A POINT SOURCE ANTICYCLONE WHICH IS PROVIDING
EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW AND LOW (05 TO 10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. TC PHAILIN IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTHEAST AND WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWEST AROUND THIS STR, MAKING LANDFALL
NORTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, PRIOR TO TAU 24. THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY TO A PEAK OF 145 KNOTS OVER THE NEXT
12 HOURS AS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS PERSIST, ALTHOUGH THE
POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER ERC MAY HAMPER ANY FURTHER INTENSIFICATION.
AFTER TAU 12, A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED AS LAND
INTERACTION BEGINS TO ERODE THE SYSTEM WITH MORE RAPID EROSION AFTER
LANDFALL, LEADING TO THE SYSTEMS DISSIPATION BY TAU 48. THE
AVAILABLE NUMERIC TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, LENDING TO
HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST WHICH IS LAID CLOSE TO
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS
56 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.//
NNNN

I have only posted part of this I believe the rest is what I posted above.
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 86.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 56 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.
//
0213100706 116N 991E  20
0213100712 116N 984E  25
0213100718 116N 975E  25
0213100800 117N 966E  25
0213100806 119N 957E  25
0213100812 123N 948E  30
0213100818 127N 941E  30
0213100900 132N 934E  35
0213100906 134N 928E  40
0213100912 137N 922E  40
0213100918 141N 917E  50
0213101000 144N 913E  65
0213101000 144N 913E  65
0213101006 149N 910E  80
0213101006 149N 910E  80
0213101006 149N 910E  80
0213101012 154N 903E 100
0213101012 154N 903E 100
0213101012 154N 903E 100
0213101018 156N 894E 125
0213101018 156N 894E 125
0213101018 156N 894E 125
0213101100 158N 888E 135
0213101100 158N 888E 135
0213101100 158N 888E 135
0213101106 161N 884E 135
0213101106 161N 884E 135
0213101106 161N 884E 135
0213101112 167N 877E 140
0213101112 167N 877E 140
0213101112 167N 877E 140
0213101118 169N 871E 140
0213101118 169N 871E 140
0213101118 169N 871E 140
0213101200 174N 865E 140
0213101200 174N 865E 140
0213101200 174N 865E 140
NNNN



                  Wind Radii
The outermost set of radii is 34 knot winds
If there are two sets of radii, the innermost is 50 knot winds
If there are three sets of radii, the innermost is 64 knot winds


For Google Earth Graphic Overlay:  http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/



TPIO10 PGTW 120312

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (PHAILIN)

B. 12/0232Z

C. 17.7N

D. 86.3E

E. ONE/MET7

F. T6.5/7.0/S0.0/24HRS  STT: W0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 03A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN
E# OF 6.0. ADDED 0.5 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT TO YIELD A DT OF 6.5.
PT AGREES WITH DT WHILE MET YEILDS A 6.0. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
  11/2154Z  17.3N  86.6E  SSMI


  SCHALIN
126
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Update: Tropical Cyclone 02B (Phailin) Warning #13 Issued at 12/0300Z - hanna, 10/12/2013, 12:23 am
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