Re: Invest 91L - 70% chance of formation within next 5 days
Posted by tvsteve on 6/29/2014, 8:04 am
NHC has just increased the possibility to 70% that Invest 91L will become a Tropical Cyclone within the next 5 days, and SOME models are in agreement that it will approach South Florida.

http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2014&storm=91&latestinvest=1&display=googlemap&latestrun=1




TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUN 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A low pressure system located about 230 miles east of Jacksonville,
Florida, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms
as it moves slowly southward. Upper-level winds are only marginally
favorable, and proximity to dry air to the north of the disturbance
could inhibit formation of a tropical cyclone over the next couple
of days.  By Wednesday, however, environmental conditions are
expected to become more conducive for development of this system
while it drifts southward and meanders offshore of the Florida east
coast.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled
to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Stewart
194
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Invest 91L - Initialized at 8am Today (Saturday 6/28) - tvsteve, 6/28/2014, 10:17 am
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