before being called a super typhoon. Winds are now expected to reach 135kts/155.355mph and for now is heading to Oshima, Japan. This is a monster but it is beautiful to see from space. TY 1419 (VONGFONG) Issued at 12:45 UTC, 7 October 2014 Analyses at 07/12 UTC> Scale - Intensity Violent Center position N17°25'(17.4°) E134°10'(134.2°) Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(11kt) Central pressure 915hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt) Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt) Area of 50kt winds or more ALL190km(100NM) Area of 30kt winds or more NE390km(210NM) SW330km(180NM) <Forecast for 08/00 UTC> Intensity Violent Center position of probability circle N17°55'(17.9°) E132°20'(132.3°) Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(9kt) Central pressure 905hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt) Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt) Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM) Storm warning area ALL300km(160NM) <Forecast for 08/12 UTC> Intensity Violent Center position of probability circle N18°25'(18.4°) E131°25'(131.4°) Direction and speed of movement WNW Slowly Central pressure 905hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt) Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt) Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM) Storm warning area ALL330km(180NM) <Forecast for 09/12 UTC> Intensity Violent Center position of probability circle N19°55'(19.9°) E130°55'(130.9°) Direction and speed of movement NNW Slowly Central pressure 910hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt) Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt) Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM) Storm warning area ALL410km(220NM) <Forecast for 10/12 UTC> Intensity Very Strong Center position of probability circle N22°50'(22.8°) E131°50'(131.8°) Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(8kt) Central pressure 920hPa Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt) Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt) Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM) Storm warning area ALL480km(260NM) WTPN31 PGTW 071500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 19W (VONGFONG) WARNING NR 020 UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 19W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z --- NEAR 17.4N 134.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 134.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 17.7N 132.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 18.3N 131.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 19.2N 131.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 20.3N 130.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 22.7N 130.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 25.6N 130.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 28.6N 129.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 071500Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 133.6E. SUPER TYPHOON 19W (VONGFONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 649 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 47 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z.// NNNN http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1914web.txt |