Re: Latest recon does indicate better organization
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 6/15/2015, 11:13 am
The position of the center may have more to do with that. Until the models know where the center is, they can't do the best job.

I like to look at the BAM models, shallow, medium and deep. They are rather clustered:

http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2015&storm=91&latestinvest=1&display=googlemap&latestrun=1&models=BAMS,BAMM,BAMD

If they were farther apart, it would indicate that the stronger or weaker 91L is the more the track might be impacted.

They depend on whether the system is well defined (deep, and can be steered by higher layers) or not so much (shallow, lower steering layers are more applicable).

Steering:
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=dlm1&zoom=&time

If you switch there is not a massive amount of change. So I think it is more about where the center is, which recon is helping a lot.

Recon on the way to Carlos in East Pacific:

92
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Any recon data sent back yet? - Will_TX, 6/15/2015, 10:04 am
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