Re: Major Cane
Posted by Shalista on 8/21/2015, 7:32 pm
Ok going to throw out some scenarios that are setting up for play...first off is this...



1. All the dry air to the North of Danny is probably keeping him on the current track that he is one, which is a straight beeline towards central America...(1st set up scenario)

2. The shear factor





Danny is about to moving into the shear, and I might add pretty strong.

3.  Steering winds



Again we go back to #1, all the steering wind layers has Danny following straight into Central America.  But as with all things, conditions can change, but after looking at Danny now...



He is now beginning to reach the shearing winds, I say give it one more day before we make assumptions on where Danny is going, but my take (IMO) is sheer takes him out and becomes a tropical wave heading towards Central America and across it to form on the other side as the Euro is suggesting.

Here is a wider view to see things in perspective of what I am seeing...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-wv.html

Anyone is welcome to chime in...I'm just an amateur....what are your thoughts Bobbie?
111
In this thread:
Hurricane Danny, Friday 11am EDT: 105mph - Chris in Tampa, 8/21/2015, 11:34 am
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.