P28L
Posted by cypresstx on 8/25/2015, 9:53 am
I think that's P28L http://www.met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/storms2015/P28L.html

the text below is over 9 hrs old, only updated once daily:

SYNOPSIS 2015082500

P28L
12N, 10E
700 hPa


ECMWF:  Initially elongated SW-NE, with an apparent organization of the NE end during the next day or so.  OW increases rapidly from near zero at 36 hours to 30x10-9 s-2 at 84 hours.  OW fluctuates but remains high after that, but P28L remains a large pouch, tracking WNW over west Africa.  If it continues with forecast track, P28L would leave Africa on Day 6 at about 18N.

GFS:  Organizes sooner than ECMWF, with the initial NE end of the elongated pouch already the strongest part.  OW gradually increases to 29x10-9 s-2 at 108 hours.  Tracks faster and farther north than ECMWF.  Set to emerge from Africa soon after 120 hours near 21N.

UKMET:

NAVGEM:

HWRF-GEN:


ECMWF   -5.8   -1.5 track  120h
GFS     -6.6   -2.6 track  120h
UKMET  
NAVGEM  
HWGEN




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Monster coming off Africa now - Gianmarc, 8/25/2015, 9:09 am
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