2am Sat: Through 5 days, 40% chance
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 6/18/2016, 5:18 am
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave is producing disorganized thunderstorms and cloudiness over the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, Belize, northern Guatemala, and adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea. A weak surface low pressure system could form over the southern Yucatan peninsula during the next day or so. At this time, only slow development of this disturbance is expected due to proximity to land and only marginally conducive upper-level winds. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph during the next few days, emerging over the Bay of Campeche and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
Forecaster Stewart
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In this thread:
8pm Fri: Through 5 days, 30% chance for area moving across Yucatan into Bay of Campeche -
Chris in Tampa,
6/17/2016, 8:07 pm- Earliest year to fourth named storm? - LawKat, 6/19/2016, 3:41 pm
- 2am Sunday: 70% - Chris in Tampa, 6/19/2016, 4:32 am
- 8pm Saturday: 60% - Chris in Tampa, 6/18/2016, 11:27 pm
- 2pm Saturday: 50% - Chris in Tampa, 6/18/2016, 5:30 pm
- Now 94L; 8am Saturday, 40% in 48 hours / 5 days - Chris in Tampa, 6/18/2016, 10:46 am
- 2am Sat: Through 5 days, 40% chance - Chris in Tampa, 6/18/2016, 5:18 am
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