from the "pouch people"
Posted by
cypresstx on 7/27/2016, 1:53 pm
SYNOPSIS 2016072700
P09L 9N, 11W 700 hPa
ECMWF: Continues to be easy to track. Moves WNW throughout the five days. OW climbs to 10x10-9 s-2 at 72 hours before decreasing to 3x10-9 s-2 at 120 hours.
GFS: Continues to depict P09L as going from zonally to SW-NE stretched in the first couple days. Then becomes more circular and well organized. OW peaks at almost 5x10-9 s-2 at 48 hours. OW then decreases, but remains steady in the 3-4x10-9 s-2 range. Tracks at a lower latitude than in ECMWF, but turns northward on Day 5, resulting in a very similar 120-h position as in ECMWF.

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