Re: Matthew becomes the first Atlantic category five hurricane since Felix in 2007
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/30/2016, 11:28 pm
Also worth noting from the discussion tonight:
"It is noted that none the guidance ever indicated the rapid strengthening of Matthew."
This is the intensity forecast from the models 24 hours ago:
http://hurricanecity.com/models/models.cgi?basin=al&year=2016&storm=14&display=wind_diagram&run=2016093000
None of the models forecast the storm to be over 100 knots within 24 hours and most were not even close. The GFDL forecast a peak of 90 knots in the 24 hour period and the HWRF a peak of 73 knots.
Even the most ambitious models at times weren't even close. |
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