Saturday 0Z Euro Ensemble
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/2/2017, 6:14 am
50 Euro ensemble members (maybe 51 if control included) and high resolution Euro. (ECMF on this image) Through 10 days.

OFCL is official track. It appears to be the 11pm AST Friday track. (based on the 120 hour position)

Saved image:



From: http://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/tang/tcguidance/al112017/

You can see a lot of the ensemble, as well as high resolution Euro, is closer to Lesser Antilles.

As for longer range, this from the NHC 5am AST discussion:

"It is much too early to determine what direct impacts Irma will
have on the continental United States.  Regardless, everyone in
hurricane-prone areas should ensure that they have their hurricane
plan in place, as we are now near the peak of the season."
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Irma at 5am AST on Saturday: 110mph; W (270 degrees) at 14mph - Chris in Tampa, 9/2/2017, 5:39 am
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