Jose floater: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/12L/12L_floater.html Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Discussion Number 70 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 500 PM AST Fri Sep 22 2017 After 70 advisories, enough is enough. The tropical-storm-force winds from Jose have finally subsided and moved out of the southern New England. Thus, the wind hazard to land has decreased, and this will be the last advisory on Jose since it is already post-tropical. A slow decay over cold water is forecast while the low drifts southeastward to southward. The cyclone should degenerate into a trough within 3 days as forecast by the global models. The swell and rip current threat will remain across large portions of the U.S. east coast for quite some time, due to the wave field from both Jose and Maria. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 39.3N 69.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 23/0600Z 39.1N 69.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 23/1800Z 38.7N 68.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 24/0600Z 38.4N 67.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 24/1800Z 38.2N 68.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Advisory Number 70 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 500 PM AST Fri Sep 22 2017 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS LOWERED FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON JOSE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.3N 69.1W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 140 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: None. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose was located near latitude 39.3 North, longitude 69.1 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the southeast near 3 mph (6 km/h) and a slow southeastward drift is forecast for the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda and much of the U.S. east coast and will likely cause dangerous surf and rip current conditions during the next couple of days. For more information, please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Blake |