Nate is to the right of where it should be based on recon
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 10/6/2017, 7:43 am
| Air Force through 7:21am EDT. NOAA through 7:19am EDT.   Previous Air Force recon mission vortex plotted. (1000mb)  Air Force vortex at 7:09am EDT: URNT12 KNHC 061124 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162017 A. 06/11:09:20Z B. 17 deg 36 min N 084 deg 39 min W C. 850 mb 1388 m D. 36 kt E. 294 deg 55 nm F. 015 deg 30 kt G. 294 deg 54 nm H. 997 mb I. 16 C / 1524 m J. 18 C / 1525 m K. 8 C / NA L. NA M. NA N. 1345 / 08 O. 0.02 / 6 nm P. AF308 0516A NATE OB 08 MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 52 KT 132 / 34 NM 11:20:30Z CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 360 / 3 KT Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC) Transmitted: 6th day of the month at 11:24Z Agency: United States Air Force Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF98-5308 Storm Number & Year: 16 in 2017 Storm Name: Nate (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 5 Observation Number: 08 A. Time of Center Fix: 6th day of the month at 11:09:20Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 17°36'N 84°39'W (17.6N 84.65W) B. Center Fix Location: 234 statute miles (377 km) to the E (88°) from Belize City, Belize. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,388m (4,554ft) at 850mb D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 36kts (~ 41.4mph) E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 55 nautical miles (63 statute miles) to the WNW (294°) of center fix F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 15° at 30kts (From the NNE at ~ 34.5mph) G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 54 nautical miles (62 statute miles) to the WNW (294°) of center fix H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 997mb (29.44 inHg) I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft) J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,525m (5,003ft) K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 8°C (46°F) K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available L. Eye Character: Not Available M. Eye Shape: Not Available N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature N. Fix Levels (sfc and flt lvl centers are within 5nm of each other): Surface and 850mb O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles O. Meteorological Accuracy: 6 nautical miles Remarks Section: Maximum Outbound and Flight Level Wind: 52kts (~ 59.8mph) which was observed 34 nautical miles (39 statute miles) to the SE (132°) from the flight level center at 11:20:30Z Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 360° at 3kts (From the N at 3mph) |
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In this thread:
4:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 - 16.9 N 85.1 W, NNW at 14 mph, 999 mb, 45 mph - cypresstx, 10/6/2017, 5:48 am
- Where is the center? - beachman80, 10/6/2017, 8:53 am
- Re: Where is the center? - Chris in Tampa, 10/6/2017, 9:02 am
- Wider view - Chris in Tampa, 10/6/2017, 9:05 am
- 7:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 - 17.8 N 84.8 W, NNW at 14 mph, 996 mb, 45 mph - cypresstx, 10/6/2017, 10:07 am
- Wider view - Chris in Tampa, 10/6/2017, 9:05 am
- Re: Where is the center? - Chris in Tampa, 10/6/2017, 9:02 am
- Re: Nate is to the right of where it should be based on recon - Chris in Tampa, 10/6/2017, 8:53 am
- Re: 4:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 - 16.9 N 85.1 W, NNW at 14 mph, 999 mb, 45 mph - Chris in Tampa, 10/6/2017, 8:04 am
- surge & WPC QPF forecast - cypresstx, 10/6/2017, 8:42 am
- Discussion - cypresstx, 10/6/2017, 5:51 am
- Local Statement - NWS New Orleans - 448 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017 - cypresstx, 10/6/2017, 6:59 am
- Re: Local Statement - NWS Lake Charles - 438 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017 - cypresstx, 10/6/2017, 7:01 am
- Local Statements - NWS Mobile/Pensacola - 504 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017 - cypresstx, 10/6/2017, 7:21 am
- Re: Local Statement - NWS Lake Charles - 438 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017 - cypresstx, 10/6/2017, 7:01 am
- Local Statement - NWS New Orleans - 448 AM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017 - cypresstx, 10/6/2017, 6:59 am
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