updated wind speed probabilities
Posted by cypresstx on 7/11/2018, 4:52 pm
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAPWSAT3+shtml/112047.shtml?

HURRICANE CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032018              
2100 UTC WED JUL 11 2018                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
37.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                        

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
  ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
  EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
  CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST    
  ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
  ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
  ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS              

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE              
   OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
       AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)              
  (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN          
       18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                      
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.            
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                


 - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  

              FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
 TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
            06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT                                                  

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)  47(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   4( 4)  72(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X  23(23)  11(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SABLE ISLAND   34  4  47(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)


YARMOUTH NS    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART
61
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11:00 AM AST Wed Jul 11 - Hurricane Chris - cypresstx, 7/11/2018, 5:43 pm
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