Re: Andrew crossed FL in 4 hrs
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/23/2018, 7:20 pm
The rain is definitely a big threat either way as you've posted about. Hawaii is very mountainous. Some areas are among the wettest on Earth, while some are closer to a desert. Most areas can't handle a lot of rain though. Also at higher elevations you will see higher winds, more so the closer the core gets, which is small as you say according to the wind radii they give. The models don't have recon data so the path is going to be of less certainty. That makes it hard to know if the models are picking up on something or not, like the Euro. At this point everyone has to act like it is going to be the worst case scenario and be evacuated if they were ordered to do so. It's already too late most likely for areas already experiencing flash flooding. Some areas already got 18 to 19 inches and more to come. And when it slows even more and hopefully makes a turn, there will be flash flooding in the northern islands too. I just hope it turns before the core gets close. Even if significantly weakening by then, at high elevations there could be some very strong gusts if the track is slightly more right or if the wind field expanded. We've seen powerful storms that are weakening have some high gusts still, but the question is will they be seen on land.. It would be worse if the storm was larger, but it's close enough already to be certain that there will be some significant impacts from rain. However, because Hawaii doesn't get hit a lot by high winds (much of Hawaii) there are a lot of trees that are likely going to come down. Heavy rain and even tropical storm force winds could bring them down, not just the core.
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The size of Hurricane Lane is not what is advertised - jimw, 8/23/2018, 7:01 pm
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