I was just taking a look at some of the models. Without additional recon sampling the environment around the storm, I don't know how well the models will handle it in the coming days. However, a lot of the main models are either over some of the islands of Hawaii or closer than the current track, some with a NNE heading before a turn to the west.

18Z (2pm EDT) early cycle models, 12Z (8am) late cycle models. New models are coming out very shortly so this is already out of date. I'll make another one once the models are released in the ATCF system. I can't load the track from the CPHC site into Google Earth, so I plotted the 11am HST / 5pm EDT track manually, just adding hourly forecast points.

I include the TAB models for a reason. A meteorologist at the news conference a little but ago had talked about how if it became weaker sooner, it could be steered with the low level flow, if not, higher level flow. TABD is if the storm remained strong. TABM is medium layer steering. TABS is shallow layer steering. Due to the shear, it's not making a right turn. It will weaken. However, you can see that the faster it weakens, the more it will be steered by the low level flow. Being stronger for a longer period would be very bad for a lot of reasons.