93L becomes Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight; TS warning issued for parts of Cape Verde islands
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/7/2018, 1:20 pm
Track:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/?cone#contents
Satellite:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=al082018
"WTNT33 KNHC 071434
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082018
1100 AM AST Fri Sep 07 2018
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN CABO VERDE
ISLANDS...
...HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO EXPECTED...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 17.8W
ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of the Cabo Verde Islands has issued a Tropical
Storm Warning for the southern islands of Santiago, Fogo and
Brava.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
Santiago, Fogo, and Brava
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 13.1 North, longitude 17.8 West. The system is moving
toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A westward to west-
northwestward motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is
expected during the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, the
disturbance is expected to move near the southern Cabo Verde Islands
on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and the
system is expected to become a tropical depression or tropical storm
later today.
Conditions are conducive for the disturbance to become a tropical
depression or tropical storm later today.
Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
warning area on Sunday.
RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with maximum totals of 8 inches
across the southern Cabo Verde Islands. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flash floods.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brennan"
Invest 92L, west of Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight, has a 90% chance of development into a tropical cyclone within 48hrs/5 days. Atlantic outlook:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
There is also another invest, 94L, SW of Bermuda.
http://hurricanecity.com/models/
Atlantic imagery:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/GOES16_sector_band.php?sector=taw&band=13&length=24 |
101
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93L becomes Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight; TS warning issued for parts of Cape Verde islands - Chris in Tampa, 9/7/2018, 1:20 pm Post A Reply
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