Disclaimer: I track storms as a hobby. Please follow official local advisories.
These Euro model winds are those forecast at 850mb, no hype intended. The winds at the surface would be slower. I don't know why forecasters don't prefer working with the 10m wind output, but this is what we've got.
The GFS model slams Cape Hatteras from Thursday to Sunday landing with 921mb. That could mean 30ft+ surge-waves near Cape Hatteras. Here are a few frames:
The Canadian model has Florence making landfall in South Carolina.
The Navy Model has a wide hurricane force wind field stretching from Florida to South Carolina.
The ICON consensus model hits Hatteras at 955mb:
The HWRF takes Florence to North Carolina at 947mb.
HMON lands in the Carolinas at 951mb.
The UK model has Florence pivoting South just before reaching North Carolina as a Cat 5.
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Florence Pics (Sunday morning) - Target, 9/9/2018, 9:55 am