Re: The concern with stationary storms....
Posted by
Beachlover on 9/12/2018, 12:51 am
Heard on the radio sometime Tuesday that the SC governor had rescinded the mandatory evacuation for some of the southernmost portions of the SC coast. Wonder if he's regretting that decision, or whether it's been reinstated.....
NHC 11 p.m. Discussion rather disturbingly states:
The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward, or 300/15 kt. A
mid-level ridge to the northeast should continue to steer Florence
on a west-northwestward to northwestward heading until the
hurricane nears the coast. The steering pattern from 72 hours and
beyond becomes more complicated and uncertain. The latest GFS
model run shows a mid-level ridge building over the east-central
United States in 3-4 days. This temporarily blocks the forward
progress of the hurricane and forces a southwesterly turn in the
model run. Later in the period, the ridge rebuilds to the north of
Florence allowing the system to move inland. The official track
forecast is somewhat to the left of the previous NHC track, but to
the right of the latest consensus predictions. It should be noted
that, due to increased model spread, there is substantial
uncertainty in the 3-5 track forecast.
Am beginning to wonder if we might not end up with remnants of Florence way down here in the FL Panhandle. Could happen! |
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stevemc12,
9/11/2018, 6:42 pm Post A Reply
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